Avalanche Forecast Updated Friday Feb 6 5 pm

---------- Terrace & Coastal Areas ----------
  Saturday Sunday Monday
Alpine 4 - HIGH 3 - CONSIDERABLE 3 - CONSIDERABLE
Treeline 4 - HIGH 3 - CONSIDERABLE 3 - CONSIDERABLE
Below Treeline 3 - CONSIDERABLE 3 - CONSIDERABLE 2 - MODERATE
---------- Smithers & Interior Sections ----------
  Saturday Sunday Monday
Alpine 3 - CONSIDERABLE 3 - CONSIDERABLE 2 - MODERATE
Treeline 3 - CONSIDERABLE 2 - MODERATE 2 - MODERATE
Below Treeline 2 - MODERATE 2 - MODERATE 1 - LOW
 
Confidence: Fair - The extent of the storm on Saturday with respect to how far inland it will affect, is uncertain.
Primary Concerns:
  • Storm Snow:

    Temperature
    variations during recent storms have created various weaknesses within
    the top metre of the snowpack, and heavy loading is expected from new
    snow in coastal areas.

  • Wind Slab: Winds, typically from the SW through NW, have and will continue to create wind slabs on exposed lee and cross-loaded terrain.
  • Persistent Slab: Recently buried persistent weak layers (PWL) are primed for skier-triggering. In the Smithers & Interior Sections
    where the snowpack is shallower, largely unpredictable deep slab
    avalanches associated with basal persistent weak layers remain a
    concern.

Travel Advisory:  
Issued: Fri, Feb 6 Next Scheduled Update: Mon, Feb 9

On Saturday, avalanches in response to heavy loading from snow and wind are expected in the Terrace and Coastal Areas.
Backcountry travel under these conditions is NOT RECOMMENDED without
professional-level safety systems or guidance. Otherwise, safe travel
will require extra caution such as avoiding common trigger points and giving cornices a wide berth when traveling on or below ridges. Obvious clues such as whumpfing,
recent avalanches and shooting cracks suggest that conditions are
primed for avalanches and simple terrain is required for safe travel.
In alpine or open treeline areas, avoid locally deep pockets of wind-transported snow,
typically on the north through east sides of ridge crests and terrain
features. Persistent deep slab avalanches are most likely to be
triggered from shallow rocky areas, and although expected to be
infrequent, the potential consequences of being involved with one of
these avalanches would likely be fatal.

Avalanche Activity:  
Issued: Fri, Feb 6 Next Scheduled Update: Mon, Feb 9

Limited recent avalanche activity includes wet loose-snow avalanches up to size 2.5 on steep sun-exposed slopes and a large slab avalanche triggered by icefall. Avalanches are likely on Saturday in coastal areas due to heavy loading from snow and wind.

Snowpack:  
Issued: Fri, Feb 6 Next Scheduled Update: Mon, Feb 9

Recent new snow, accompanied by winds and warm temperatures has created
a weak "upside-down" structure in the upper snowpack where a relatively
stiff slab is overlying lower-density snow. Recent compression tests
gave moderate sudden results on this interface down approximately 40cm.
A storm snow weakness consisting of well preserved stellar crystals
down approximately 55cm recently produced hard compression test results
that noticeably dropped during fracture. Compression tests noticeably
dropped with moderate effort above and moderate to hard effort in
facets below, a rain crust buried at the end of January, found down
75-95cm.  An old snow surface of, or some combination of, surface hoar on sheltered open slopes treeline and below, facets on shady slopes, crusts on low-elevation or sun- or wind-exposed slopes, now down approximately 100cm in most places.


View Avalanche Observation Summary

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Weather:  
Issued: Fri, Feb 6 Next Scheduled Update: Mon, Feb 9

Saturday:
Very heavy snow for north coastal areas beginning Friday night with
over a metre of accumulation by Saturday night, extreme southwesterly
mountaintop winds and freezing levels rising to 1000m. Inland areas are
expected to stay considerably drier, calmer and slightly cooler.

Sunday: Continued flurries with 15-25cm for coastal areas and 5 cm inland, strong southwesterly winds and freezing levels around 800m.

Monday: Cloudy with sunny breaks and isolated light flurries, light westerly winds and freezing levels back to valley bottoms.

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